Specialists from GreenShelf GreenShelf (a developer of IT-systems for managing retail space) expect that in 2024 the share of STM on shop shelves in some product segments will reach 70% and higher. We are talking not only about food retail, but also about everyday goods.
"On the one hand, there are product categories in which the STM concept does not work by definition. These are branded cosmetics and perfumes, as well as clothing in the high price segment. On the other hand, inexpensive care products, various cleaning or hygiene products, inexpensive everyday underwear are perfectly sold under their own trade mark," says George, Development Director of GreenShelf, the developer of GreenShelf IT-system for trade space management, "The customer does not care about the brand of washing powder or socks, as long as they meet consumer characteristics and are affordable. In today's conditions, increasing the share of STM against the backdrop of retail chains' gradual rejection of discounts, a trend we are now seeing in retail, is one of the most effective ways to preserve the margins of retail chains".
Retail market players are capturing this trend in different ways, according to GreenShelf. Thus, on average, the share of sales of everyday demand has decreased by about 40% in 2023; it experienced the strongest decline in the third quarter of last year, when sales of food products through promotions decreased by almost 50%. Such a breakdown of figures, according to GreenShelf experts, shows the declining effectiveness of investment in promotions and opens the way for a new trend - a strategy of consistently low prices and preserving margins by increasing the share of STM.
"Developed countries such as the US and Germany have long gone through the STM boom; just think of players such as Walmart in the US or Aldi, one of the leaders of the discounter segment in Germany. It would not be wrong to say that the share of STM goods in a number of retailers in various product categories can now reach 90%, for example, at Aldi."
In connection with the change in the trend, retail chains are waiting for a change in the principles of shelf planning, according to GreenShelf. According to the company's experts, the display of STM goods is always a priority for a retailer. An increase in the share of own-brand goods will inevitably lead to competition within one STM category on the shelf, and as a consequence, to the need for operational analyses of current sales and planning of display on its basis.
"In addition, it will be very important to take into account the product neighbourhood, - notes George, - For example, it is highly desirable for STM products to be adjacent to the products of the anchor brand, it is a factor of attracting customers. Without a system algorithm, which includes the features of the assortment matrix, and which then gives a clear understanding of the STM faceings and the number of shelves for them, it is almost impossible to realise this".
"Traditionally, once the spring holidays are over, there is a lull until the barbecue and gardening season begins. Formally, it starts on 1 May, but its start is highly dependent on weather conditions," says Georgi . It's obvious that spring will be early this year, so retailers should already be concerned about product planning for the start of the high season".
Within the spring-summer and early autumn seasons, GreenShelf experts identify several waves that shape the priority of merchandise planning in shops.
- Mid-April - the beginning of the high season of sales of gardening tools, seeds and seedlings.
- May is the beginning of the barbecue season.
- June and July are the peak of beach and water sports sales. In August, when the holiday season reaches its peak, the demand for beach products starts to decline smoothly, GreenShelf says. This is because shoppers purchase all beach novelties at the beginning of the season and have time to satisfy their shopping needs by the holiday period.
August is a period of decline in sales for all destinations. For the last few years retailers' attempts to localise on the shelves thematic assortment dedicated to the stages of the harvest (Nut Saviour, Honey Saviour, Apple Saviour) have been recorded on the market. The last week of August is traditionally characterised by an explosion of demand for school goods before the start of the new school year.
"According to all signs, the coming shopping seasons will not bring any surprises. Although objectively we are seeing a decline in customer traffic, judging by the published LFL-reports of key retail players," says George, GreenShelf expert, "The decline in purchasing power, which is also an objective fact, may prevent a large number of spontaneous purchases. Now the buyer is saving for a targeted or family purchase. Of course, seasonal and festive goods fit into this paradigm. But it should be remembered that whereas in the past a person who came to a shop to buy a lawnmower would not mind upgrading to a barbecue or buying a pergola for the garden if it came his way, now he is more likely to limit himself to a lawnmower. Retailers should remember this and take it into account when planning the display and when changing the planogram quickly if feedback from shops shows that a large spontaneous purchase is no longer working. So, the display should be planned so that the customer buys a few small but necessary items".